Archive for the ‘Hacketts bet tips’ Category

Premier League Preview 09/10

Friday, August 14th, 2009

Well it’s that time of year again where us football fans can begin to get excited as the Premier League gets under way in a matter of days and for those of us interested in having a little flutter, we can try and find some antepost value bets to keep us with that added interest for the entire season.  With the majority of the transfers probably completed by now it is probably the right time to have a look at each team and try and find out a market where we can try and swindle a little profit so here goes…

Arsenal, current price 9/1.

Currently the team most will have as favourites to break the ‘big four’ finishing positions of recent years but they are definitely not to be underrated.  Many will see the loss of both Adebayor and Toure to Manchester City many will see as a big negative for Arsenal, and although I would agree with the Toure argument, the loss of Adebayor will merely give Van Persie the room to show his true class and with Eduardo now back in full flow, this pairing may well be the highest scoring duo of next season (if they both stay fit that is) and with the likes of Fabregas (if he does not go to Madrid) and Arhavin in midfield, Arsenal definitely have the tools to put in a challenge for the title and for me any price around 4/9 for them to finish in the top four represents real value, even if the price might seem a bit short for most.

Aston Villa, current price 200/1

The loss of Martin Laursen will be a big blow to Martin O’Neill’s defense as he looks to repeat his teams’ great start to last years Premiership campaign.  Gareth Barry has also left in favour of the big money move to Manchester City, but in Stewart Downing they have the perfect replacement and with England U21 star Fabian Delph also after signing over the Summer, O’Neill’s squad (although small) is certainly packed with quality and with most of their star players under the age of 25, they are ones to watch for the future, but realistically fans should be happy with a Europa Cup spot come the end of the season.

Birmingham City, current price 2500/1 (Evs to be relegated)

After coming straight back up to the Premier League, Birmingham are third favourites to go straight back down again and many will see the Even money available as a decent bet, but don’t write them off too quickly.  Their defensive record last year was second to none, going about promotion the opposite way to eventual winners Wolves, and bearing in mind they have brought in Joe Hart in goal and Scott Dann to further improve their defense, it is not impossible that even the top teams will find it hard to break them down and I wreckon they are a decent bet to stay up.

Blackburn Rovers, current price 1500/1 (7/1 to be relegated)

Selling star striker Santa Cruz to Manchester City meant that Blackburn had a bit of spare cash lying about this Summer and their signings have certainly been interesting as they have placed their hopes in 2 young players who are both hotly tipped as being the next ‘big thing’.  In midfield they have signed Steven N’Zonzi, dubbed the next Patrick Viera no less, and up front they have signed Croatian Nikola Kalinic from Hadjuk Split fotr £6m.  Throw in a few free transfers and a few loan spells and Blackburn have certainly kept some profit from selling their star man, but that said, they would have to spend a lot more to better any finishing position over mid-table but that said, if the new players do work out they could well be worth a bet to finish in the top half of the table.

Bolton Wanderers, current price 2000/1 (5/1 to be relegated)

Bolton had a relatively quiet Summer on the transfer front so far but they are linked with a few names that would improve most squads.  First up is Paul Scholes, and although he is definitely in his twilight years, his quality was still there to be seen whenever he did make an appearance last season.  Kevin Nolan and Damien Duff are also rumoured to be departing Newcastle as well as Miguel Andel Angulo from Valencia.  Whatever changes they do make to their squad, they will probably make little difference to their finishing position, which will no doubt be somewhere between 11th and 16th, like it always is.

Burnley, current price 2500/1 (8/13 for relegation)

Hot favourites to go down and frankly it really is hard to disagree with this fact and as short a price as it is, it really does look like the banker bet of the season.  They may not come last but it is just too hard to see a team who finished 5th in the Championship last year to be consistantly better than 3 other teams, especially when their biggest signing so far has been Steven Fletcher from Hibernian.  I may eat these words come the end of the season, and if they stay up I will, which is why I shall keep this short.

Chelsea, current price 2/1

Apart from being linked with a lot of high-profile names, Chelsea have been really quiet this Summer, probably because they already have one of the best squads in Europe.  We all know they are a class side and if they can stay injury free, they will push Manchester Utd all the way this year.

Everton, current price 200/1

Everton have also has a fairly quiet few months on the transfer market with their highest profile moves probably being Luke Garbutt and Shkodran Mustafi, hardly two household names even for the most avid football fan.  Speculation is still rife over Lescott’s transfer request, with Manchester City seemingly putting in an improved bid every day, but Moyes seems to be keeping to his word and is refusing to sell, safe in the knowledge that Lescott will still put in 100% as he looks to secure an England place.  A Top 6 place is their main aim again this year, but with Manchester City, Tottenham, and Aston Villa all trying to achieve the same thing, it may just be Everton who have to give way.

Fulham, current price 750/1 (12/1 for relegation)

Will be looking for a repeat of last years performances, especially in defense, but with Andy Johnson their only real striker of note, Fulham will once again be looking to Danny Murphy and Clint Dempsey to provide goals from midfield, and if the pair stay fit for the season, there is no reason why they won’t finish in the top half of the table.

Hull City, current price 2500/1 (5/6 to be relegated)

Heroes for the first part of last season, found out by the end, Hull City will be hoping that record signing Jimmy Bullard will be back fit as soon as possible and with Stephen Hunt also after signing from Reading, Hull’s midfield will certainly be improved from that of last season so one would think that an improved team will improve on its previous finishing position, however, in this case, I fear the worst and along with Burnley, they shall go down.

Liverpool, current odds 7/2

At times last year Liverpool looked like real contenders, and had they not struggled with consistency (especially against the ‘weaker’ teams) they might well have taken the title from Manchester United.  That said, they did not, and despite signing Glen Johnson and Alberto Aquilani this year, their squad just is not strong enough to contend again and don’t be surprised if you see a 5 or 6 beside their name come the end of May.  This is probably a tad harsh, I know, but the loss of Alonso will probably just be too much..

Manchester City, current odds 14/1

THE gamble pre season due to their massive spending and on paper they look like a decent team - the big question being whether they can play together, and if they can then there is no reason why they should not break into the top 4.  However, history has shown that it takes time for players to gel and we should get a good indication of City’s strength after their first few games, which, like their team look good on paper.  Anything less than three wins and they would be a worth a punt to finish outside the top 6.

Manchester United, current odds 2/1

All eyes will be on Man Utd’s midfield this year as they look to fill the gap left vacant by Ronaldo.  Although not a natural replacement for Ronaldo, Valencia is still a quality player and Ferguson will be looking to the likes of Nani to step up and deliver on the creative side of things.  Michael Owen has played well pre-season and if their mid-field can cope with the loss of Ronaldo there is no reason why they cant repeat last years success.

Portsmouth, current odds  500/1 (2/1 to be relegated)

Massive debt and the loss of all of your best players - hardly the best preparation for a season.  The loss of Johnson and Crouch will cripple Portsmouth this year as no real replacements have been brought in.  It really does look glum for Pompey fans, but from a punters point of view, they offer serious value to go down and 2/1 really is a cracking price.

Stoke City, current price 2000/1 (10/3 to be relegated)

Another team who were quiet in the transfer market and will probably be fairly quiet on the pitch as well are Stoke.  Nothing special but probably good enough to stay up, not because they are good, but because there are 3 or 4 teams worse.

Sunderland, current price 1000/1 (8/1 for relegation)

The signings of Fraizer Campbell and Darren Bent will greatly strengthen Sunderlands attacking abilities and with the like of Malbranque and Richardson in midfield, they certainly have the creative talent to compliment their new strike force and if they get a good run injury free they might just sneak into the top half of the league.

Tottenham Hotspur, current price 100/1

With ‘Arry now at the helm, we have seen a complete turnaround of fortunes at Spurs.  New signings Sebastien Bassong and Peter Crouch should both slide in nicely to Redknap’s setup and they have no excuses not to challenge for a top 6 spot this year and they will be my cheeky punt of the year to sneak into the top four at Liverpool’s expense.  You heard it here first.

West Ham, current price 500/1 (12/1 for relegation)

No big names in or out pre season and no doubt they will plug away and grind out enough results to guarantee safety but any position around 13th would probably be accepted by most fans.

Wigan Athletic, current price 1500/1 (4/1 for relegation)

The loss of Valencia and Cattermole will more than likely be felt and just like West Ham, fans will probably be happy with a place around the 13 mark as well.

Wolves, current price 1500/1 (5/4 for relegation)

Impressive in winning the championship last year and new signings Doyle and Milijas will certainly strengthen the side and if Doyle can link up with Ebanks-Blake, then they are a decent bet to stay up and may even ‘do a Hull’ and find themselves up the top end of the table.  Don’t be surprised if they rumble a few feathers throughout the season.

USPGA Preview

Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

This years USPGA championship promises to be an absolute corker of an event.  Not only do we have an extra-long course to challenge the players, but also probably the toughest gree-side array of traps that we have seen in an American major, meaning that even the best scramblers in the game will struggle to shoot low if they are struggling with their irons.

With the course playing so long, most people will probably look for the big hitters when picking their winner, but I would argue that it is greens in regulation and accuracy off the tee that are the big players this week, with the eventual winner being whoever gets hot with their putter.   Before I name a few players, I would just like to state that I can’t really see past a Woods victory so for that reason I am going to take the hit on prices just to avoid the Tiger, so all of these are in the w/o Woods market.

First up is mr nearly, Sergio Garcia.  In his prime he would be around the 16/1 mark in this market but with his current lapse in form he now double that price at 33/1 and at this price he represents a great value bet and he will be my big bet this week.  On form there is no player better tee to green (Woods included) and if he ever finds out how to use a putter he would be unstoppable.  Hopefully this week his solid iron play will mean that he willl be there or thereabouts and I am basically taking a gamble on him making a few putts and keeping his head.  I know this is not the most re-assuring tip that you will ever read, but at the price he is well worth a pop.

Second up is Luke Donald.  Having finish T5 in this years British Open he has shown that he can handle the pressure at the top of the leaderboard at a major and his current world ranking of 24 would be much higher had he not sprained his wrist playing out of the rough in the US Open and been forced to undergo surgery.  Despite poorish results on tour this year, Donald has shown that he is one of the most solid players on tour and on current form we are again treated to an inflated price, and at 66/1, it is quite juicy indeed.

Third up is John Senden.  Currently top of the Greens in Regulation stats on the US tour and with a T2 a couple of weeks ago he is (unlike my last two names) a player in form who simply cannot be ignored with the course set up the way it is, especially as his price is a three figured one at 100/1.

With Harrington also coming back into form it would be rude not to mention him here so there it is.  Just on a personal note I shall also be backing Westwood, simply beacuse I have in every major for the past few years, and like Garcia, his time will come sooner rather than later.

 

St Jude Classic Preview

Tuesday, June 9th, 2009

With no European Tour event this week, my attention is turned to the US where we have the St Jude Classic taking place in Texas.  Defending champion Justin Leonard is second in the betting behind Phil Mickelson and despite Leonard’s impeccable record here (twice winner); I am going to look further down the field when it comes to picking a winner. 

Top of the pile is Germany’s Alex Cejka around the 80/1 mark.  T4 here last year and a respectable T23 last week Cejka is a man in form who like the course.  Backers of Cejka in recent weeks will be still recovering from his defeat in the Players Championship, where he shot a closing round 79 to finish in T9 after leading for most of the tournament.  This might be off-putting for some people, but his price around the 80/1 mark is enough to justify him being my big bet of the week, bearing in mind that he has won on tour before.  His 6 top 25 finishes this year are a further comfort for those who would be happy if he snuck into a place.

One player who has yet to win on tour but is certainly capable is American Michael Letzig and is definitely worth a punt around the 80/1 mark.  T14 here last year and T14 last week he is a player who has shown he can go close and it is probably the fact that he has yet to win that his price is so big.  He could have went really close last week bar his closing 75 and I would be very surprised to see him finish outside the top 20 this time round.  If he holds his form over the 4 days he may very well find himself around the top of the leaderboard and at 80/1 I will gladly take that.

To finish off the trio, I shall also have a go at Will MacKenzie around the 100/1 mark.  8th here in 07 and a top 10 finish are stats far too good to ignore when they are associated with a 3-figure price.  MacKenzie already has 2 top tens to his name this year and with any luck he can find himself there or there abouts come Sunday evening.

Hopefully we can go close again this week, and although Europe proved to be unsuccessful last week, Woods’ victory in America has yet again given us a return on our selections.  Let’s hope we can repeat this with a nice big-priced winner this week.

Welsh Open Preview

Wednesday, June 3rd, 2009

After a great first day last week, all of my selections eventually dropped down the leaderboard with not even one in contention come day 4. I am, however, putting this down to the weather over the weekend and am confident that at least one selection this week will make a return on my investment. Those who have been following this for the past few months (before most of it was deleted *Ahem*) will know that the balance sheet is still showing a healthy profit, so those of you new to here, please keep the faith!

Right, back to picking some golfers. Once again Ross Fisher heads the market, again around the 12/1 mark, but his admission that he was ‘tired’ last week (this info would have been nice on Monday) is enough to put me off, despite his solid record on the course and good form of late. I am instead drawn towards the 50/1 that is available for Jamie Donaldson. On a course which is relatively easy to score on, one must look for players in-form, or those who have a history on the course and Donaldson has both. A native of Wales, T15 here last year and a T4 in Portugal a few weeks ago is enough for me to think that 50/1 is too big for him and he will be my big bet this week.

Going along the same lines, (but alas not the same odds) I am going to have something on Welshman Stephen Dodd around the 25/1 mark. With three top tens in the last few weeks, there is no questioning his current form and despite never really doing well here, a man in form with good course knowledge is always going to be a danger and this is why he is worth a punt despite his short price.

Lastly, I am going to have a go at Peter Lawrie around the 80/1 mark. Although his T27 last week might not jump put of the page at you (nor his previous form this season), anyone with a keen eye will have noticed a golfer really enjoying his game last week, and more importantly a golfer striking the ball really well, which is why he is well worth something small just in case…

Across the water I can’t see past Tiger, despite his current form (or lack there of) but man of the moment Casey is also well worth a punt as he is probably the best golfer in the world on current form and 16/1 is far too big a price for a golfer associated with this sentence.

Apologies if this reads a bit rushed (it was), but rest assured there was plenty of thought and consideration put into the selections!

European Open Preview

Monday, May 25th, 2009

In only its’ second year at the London Golf Club, The European Open is probably not the best tournament to use course history as a guide to picking your winner, but that said last years winner Ross Fisher might just be an exception to this rule.  Second last week to another man in great from, Paul Casey, Fisher has the game and the head to repeat last years victory (maybe not so emphatically as 7 shots again) and will no doubt be many pundits fancy this week and looks certain to start as a strong favourite.  That said, he is well worth a punt at anywhere near the 10/1 mark as if he were more renowned you would probably be looking at him going off around the 5/1 mark.

With the obvious pick now out of the way we can have a look at trying to find a bigger priced winner.  With three second places already this year and an eleventh place last week (which included a second round 77), talented Spaniard Gonzalo Fdez-Castano is well worth an e/w bet at anywhere around the 40/1 mark.  Despite a T59 finish here last year, his first round 4-under par 68 shows that he can score on this course if he puts his mind to it, and his 4 previous wins on the European Tour show that he can also handle the pressure associated with going well in a tournament.  With so many of the big names over in the US this week (including man of the moment Paul Casey) and so few of the ‘big names’ currently playing well I think he offers a great each-way bet and if he gets off to a good start I expect him to be there or thereabouts.

In the spirit of all good things coming in 3’s I am going to throw in Soren Hansen around the 40/1 mark again.  Although I usually like to throw in a big-priced player as my final selection, no-one really jumps out at me, so I shall so with the stats, and a T21 last week and T5 here last year is good enough for Hansen to get the nod over the rest.  That said I may still have something small on Paul McGinley at bigger odds as he can play here and it’s always nice to have the added interest of backing a home player.

US Masters 2009

Wednesday, April 8th, 2009

This year’s Masters promises to be an absolute cracker, with Woods returning to form and so many of the top ten showing signs of form in recent weeks.  My only regret writing this is that I have been on holidays and had every intention of talking up Paul Casey’s chance before he won last week, but with his price now demolished and the chances of back-to-back wins so small I am going to overlook Casey as I try and repeat last year’s winning selection of Trevor Immelman.

Obviously Woods is the first name that jumps out at you but I still find it hard to ‘tip’ a golfer that is such a strong favourite (even if he does win).  Other obvious picks are Phil Mickelson, who has a great record at Augusta, and Padraig Harrington who is looking for his third major in a row and showed good form last week.  However, it is these three that top the market and for this reason I am going to look elsewhere.

On the back of a good week last time out in Houston, world number 13, Lee Westwood at 50/1 shall be my bet of the week.  Tied 11th here last time along with this tied third in the US Open last year, Westwood has shown that he has the mental capability to perform at a high level in major competitions.  If any further proof is needed then a look at his Ryder Cup record will show that he can beat the best.  His stroke average for 2009 so far is 70.04, the lowest of his career so far, and although the year is only 4 months old, a repeat of this average should see him sneak into a place (especially here as we are going 6 places) and a repeat of last week’s form (excluding his final round) should see him battling for the top spot, even if Tiger is on form.  For a small e/w bet I am also going to have a look at Louis Oosthuizen, whose form this season has been incredible and simply cannot be overlooked, especially at a whopping 150/1.

As always in the majors, there are plenty of extra markets to get the juices flowing and they have often come as a saviour to many a discerned punter.  For those who can’t see past a Woods victory but still fancy a winner at a big price, there is the W/O Woods market to have a look at.  The market that jumps out at me is Top Us player W/O Woods, with Mickelson heading the market at 2/1.  Although he is clearly a valid favourite on his course form, recent efforts have not been so great and with the market offering 4 places, there is still hope in making some profit even if he does show up.  One player who jumps out at me in this market is Pat Perez.  Currently  8th in the FedEx Cup standings, Perez is a player at the top of his game and when you look at some of the names ahead of him in the market (Couples and Perry spring to mind), in my opinion he is far too big a price and I would be truely surprised if he did not give you a decent run for your money.  With 1/4 the odds for the first four places, Perez at 40/1 represents a great opportunity to pick up some profit for the week.

 

This Weeks Golfing Preview

Tuesday, March 17th, 2009

After some success in recent weeks, the hunt for a decent Masters bankroll continues with the Madeira Island Open in Europe and the Transitions Championship in the US.  With many of the big names playing in the Tavistock Cup, both tournaments are wide open and this notion is mirrored in the betting with 14/1 and 12/1 favourites respectively (as I type), so we again find ourselves with a great opportunity of finding a big priced winner.  Unfortunately, some of the previous posts were mysteriously erased over Cheltenham, but I have been assured that this will not happen again, so here’s hoping that these words are not in vain again…

We shall start by taking a look at the Madeira Open in Spain, being played on the Seve Ballesteros designed Porto Santo course.  The fact that the event was moved from Santo De Serra renders the tournaments previous results pretty much useful and paves the way for those players in good form or from the surrounding area when making your selection.  That said, the two names that jump out at me are Rafael Cabrera Bello and Ignacio Garrido.  At 25/1 and 28/1 they find themselves firmly at the top of the market but you would be unlucky if you did not get a decent run for your money from at least one of them.  Both have been performing consistently all season and their top ten finishes in recent weeks should stand them well as they compete on familiar soil for the first time this year.  If 28/1 is still too short for you and you fancy having a cheeky go on an outsider then I suggest you take a look at Jean van de Velde at 100/1.  His 5 over par, tied 64th last time out might not exactly jump out of the page at you but with 3 steady rounds of 72, 71 and 69, a top ten finish was not out of the question if you overlook his third round 81.  Given the Frenchman’s history for erratic play this is perhaps expected, but 4 steady rounds this week could see very well see van de Velde in contention come Sunday, and at 100/1 he is perhaps a bit overpriced.

Across the water in America, the first name that jumps out is John Senden, who has finished 2nd here the last two years, and at a price of 50/1 this is form that cannot be ignored.  Pre-tournament favourite is Jim Furyk at 12/1 and although a very obvious pick, his proven track record when in form on US soil means that he will be my big bet this week.  Of the outsiders who have a good chance, I would lean towards DJ Trahan for much the same reason as I did for van de Velde - bar his opening round 77 he would have been battling for a top ten spot, and although this may not seem like title winning form, the fact that the majority of those players that made up that top ten are not playing, his price of 66/1 means that even a place will leave you in profit for the week.

Hackett’s Cheltenham Tuesday Preview by Joe

Monday, March 9th, 2009

Coming from a man who knows his stuff (allegedly!) here’s a run through the card of the opening day the Cheltenham Festival with a few tasty priced tips to chew on!

Supreme Novices Hurdle.

After all the waiting we are finally here. With all the country banking on Cousin Vinny to get them off to a flying start I suggest an e/w alternative here Copper Bleu at around 20/1 represents a cracking each way bet.He was facing an impossible task last time out trying to concede 17 pounds to Master Of Arts who is 5/1 for the Triumph Hurdle. The fast pace and ground on the soft side of good will be ideal for Philip Hobbs charge.

Arkle Chase

Paul Nicholls rates Tatenen as one of his bankers for the festival and if Tatenen had held on to win at Leopardstown over Christmas he would be as short as 7/4 here. After the Leopardstown race Nicholls claimed his horse had travelled over badly and didnt eat in the run up to the race if this is indeed the case Tatenen at 4/1 seems a cracking bet with doubts about the ground for a lot of his rivals here namely Planet Of Sound and Kalahari King who are better suited by hearing their hooves rattle.

William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase.

A very tricky handicap chase preceeds the Champion Hurdle. Wichita Lineman has been very popular ante-post here but at 5/1 I think we will leave him for the likes of J.P. I suggest an eacy way investment on Lothian Falcon here of 10stone 2 his last run was over hurdles to try to protect his handicap mark and he could be very well in at the weights in a tricky event and at odds of around 16/1 he will do for me.

Champion Hurdle.

Binocular is many peoples banker of the meeting but at 6/4 the odds are very skinny for a horse who seemed to struggle to get up the hill last year after travelling like the winner coming down the hill. Paul Nicholls is naturally very optimistic about his runners but he seems very bullish about Celestial Halo here and after Katchit breaking the 5 year olds hoodoo on the race I put him forward as the each way value at 9/1. Ruby will make plenty of use of this fellow and try to take the finish  out of the short priced favourite. Celestial Halo is certain to stay up the hill like he did last year in the Triumph.

Cross Country Chase.

We all know the trainer to look for in these events. The Bruce Springstein loving trainer Enda Bolger. He has a very strong hand here and you would be mad to look beyond L’Ami or Garde Champetre. I find it very hard to split them. So get your wife involved in the Festival and let her pick for you. But rest assured the winner will be L’Ami or Garde Champetre.

David Nicholson Mares Hurdle.

Willie Mullins will not hear about defeat for Quevega here and it may be crazy to oppose the shrewd Carlow handler but at 5/2 I don’t see much value in her. The toughest mare in the race has to be Chomba Womba and at 6/1 she is an outstanding bet with conditions to suit. She has been targeted at this race for a long time and this may well be her last race and you can be sure Nicky Henderson will have her fine tuned for this before she retires to the paddocks.

HACKETTS CHELTENHAM WEDNESDAY PREVIEW BY JOE

Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

after a great day for the irish at cheltenham on tuesday with four winners lets see if we can help you all reinvest wisely on wednesday!

NATIONAL HUNT CHASE

THE AMATEUR 4 MILE CHASE KICKS US OFF TODAY.AND I AM GOING FOR KORNATI KID HERE AT 8/1.HE IS A VERY SOUND JUMPER AND WILL GET EVERY YARD OF THE 4 MILES HERE AND THE BOOKING OF ROBBIE MCNAMARA HERE INCREASES CONFIDENCE.

BALLYMORE NOVICE HURDLE

I’M EXPECTING A VERY BIG SHOW HERE FROM A VERY BIG HORSE MAD MAX IS ABOUT 18 HANDS AND HE HAS LOOKED AWESOME SO FAR I CAN SEE THIS CHAP ONE DAY LINING UP IN A GOLD CUP AND 6/1 LOOKS A VERY FAIR PRICE COMING FROM A YARD IN GREAT FORM.

SUN ALLIANCE CHASE

I LIKE THE LOOK OF CARRUTHERS HERE AFTER A VERY GOOD FRONT RUNNING PERFORMANCE AT ASCOT HE WILL GET EVERY YARD OF THE TRIP HERE AND IF ALLOWED TO DICTATE THINGS FROM THE FRONT END THE 11/2 ABOUT HIM EVEN HAS ME PULLING UP THE FLOOR BOARDS TO DIP INTO THE RAINY DAY MONEY!

CHAMPION CHASE

WHAT CAN WE SAY ABOUT MASTER MINDED THAT HAS NOT ALREADY BEEN SAID THIS LAD COULD FALL AND STILL WIN.SO FOR A BET HERE WE NEED TO LOOK IN THE BETTING WITHOUT MARKET AND WELL CHIEF AT 4/1 COULD BE A STEAL. SURELY IF HE WASNT SHOWING HIS OLD SPARKLE AT POND HOUSE THEY WOULD NOT CONTEMPLATE RUNNING HIM HERE.

CORAL CUP

I COULD SEE THIS EVENT GOING TO SEVEN BARROWS THE POLOMOCHE SHOWED HIS WELL BEING IN A RECENT GALLOP AT KEMPTON WITH BINOCULAR AND NICKY HAS HAD THIS RACE AS HIS TARGET ALL YEAR AND 10/1 IS INVITING ME IN HERE.

FRED WINTER HURDLE 

ALEXANDER SEVERUS HAS BEN THE SUBJECT OF HEAVY SUPPORT SINCE HIS EYECATCHING RUN AT LEOPARDSTOWN AND IN WHAT LOOKS ONE OF THE WEAKEST RACES AT THE FESTIVAL I COULD SEE PLENTY OF IRISH PUNTERS REINVESTING IN THIS CHAP 5/1 AVAILABLE AT THE MOMENT SHOULD BE TAKEN AS I CAN SEE THIS FELLOW GOING TO POST AS SHORT AS 5/2.

CHAMPION BUMPER

AND NO LADS ITS NOT A QUESTION OF WHICH ONE OF WILLIES WINS HERE ITS A QUESTION OF HOW FAR DUNGUIB WINS HERE A PROPER HORSE TRAINED BY PHILP FENTON WHO KNOWS WHAT IT TAKES TO PREPARE A CHELTENHAM WINNER AFTER BEING WITH EDDIE O’GRADY FOR SO MANY YEARS.PHILIP HAS NOT TRIED TO HIDE HIS ADMIRATION FOR THIS HORSE AND AFTER A SPARKLING PIECE OF WORK LAST WEEK THIS FELLOW IS THE BET OF THE DAY WADE IN LADS WITH NO FEAR!!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premier League 08/09 - The Story So Far…

Friday, October 10th, 2008

The Premier League takes a well deserved break this week, with players concentrating on international duties and the small matter of World Cup qualification.  As disappointing as this is for the fans, it is a perfect opportunity to see how the season has been progressing, and which players have been making a name for themselves in the process.  (teams listed in current league position)

1. Chelsea - Current Price: Evens.  Star player so far: Frank Lampard.

Chelsea have been the real class act so far and their place at the top of the table is well justified.  Memories of the special one are fading fast as Phil Scholari’s style of play is proving just as effective and perhaps even more entertaining than was witnessed during Morinho’s reign.  Their last performance against a much improved Villa side illustrated just how good they are as they destroyed Villa in a display which Martin O’Neill himself described as ‘just brilliant’.  Bearing in mind that this was also a ‘weakened’ side (no Drogba, no Carvalho), it really is looking ominous for the chasing pack.

2. Liverpool - Current Price: 6/1.  Star player so far: Jamie Carragher.

The fact that it is proving difficult to choose a star player for Liverpool sums up their season so far.  Although they are currently level with Chelsea on points, their inconsistent performances are going to prove a massive hindrance to any genuine push for the title.  A victory over Man Utd was followed by a 0-0 draw at home to newly promoted Stoke City, which was then followed by an impressive 2-0 victory over Everton.  As for their 3-2 victory over Man City, the fact that they came back from 2-0 down is commendable, but the fact that they went 2-0 down so early clearly is not.  So far both Gerrard and Torres have been very hit and miss, with the later also being closely associated with new signing, Robbie Keane.  Carragher aside, these are probably going to be Liverpool’s most important players, and although recent games have seen some improvement, it really is time for Liverpool’s stars to step up, and if they do there is no reason why they can not find themselves in a similar position to now come May.

3. Hull City - Current relegation price: 11/8.  Star player so far:  Deiberson Geovanni.

Yes that is a 3 beside their name.  It’s been a dream start for Hull City and despite a 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Wigan, the Tigers can hold their heads high as consecutive victories away from home over Arsenal and Spurs have shown that they are a team to be taken seriously.  Star Man Deiberson Geovanni has already banged in two contenders for goal of the season and has improved on the bright start to the season he showed last year for City.  His performances will be key to Hull’s survival, and realistically this would be all that the club will be aiming for.

 4. Arsenal - Current Price: 10/1.  Star player so far:  Emmanuel Adebayor.

Much like Liverpool, the Gunners’ start to the season has been a bit of a mixed bag.  With perhaps the easiest start on paper out of the big 4, many Arsenal fans will be disappointed with their current tally of 13 points from a possible 21.  Defeats to Fulham and most notably Hull, have cast a shadow over some otherwise good performances and with rising star, Theo Walcott, starting to show some of the skills that have been talked about for so long, as well as Robin Van Persie’s return to form; the rest of the season should be more positive from a fan’s perspective.  This may not be their year, but if their 6-0 thrashing of Sheffield Utd by a team barely out of nappies is anything to go by, their time to shine is not too far away.

5. Aston Villa - Current Price: 150/1.  Star player so far:  John Carew.

Although it’s John Carew’s name up there it really could be one of many from Villa’s squad this year as they have firmly established themselves as ‘best of the rest’ front-runners, and they thoroughly deserve it.  They have played great team football and have thrown in some exceptional individual performances to boot.  England U21 stars Ashley Young and Gabriel Agbonlahor have been outstanding and it really should not be too long before we see the duo playing together in the first team.  Manager Martin O’Neil commands not only the respect of his team, but also of his peers, and he has shown that he is as gracious in defeat as he is in victory and with his guidance, there is no reason why Villa should not be in the same position at the end of the season.

 6. West Ham Utd - Current Price: Name It.  Star player so far:  Carlton Cole.

The Hammers have enjoyed a good start to the season but news that their owner has been hit quite badly by the current economic crisis may see their season take a turn for the worse, especially if they are forced to sell their high-profile players.  The likes of Dean Ashton, Craig Bellamy, Robert Green and rising star Mark Noble would generate interest from many Premiership clubs and provide new manager, Gianfranco Zola, with the extra funds he needs to improve his squad.  Zola already has €38m at his disposal, but with the likes of Manchester City having billions in reserve, if they are to challenge for a place in Europe, this figure really has to grow.  On the brighter side of things for West Ham fans, Carlton Cole has shown that he is more than capable of filling in for Ashton and Bellamy and if new signing, David Di Michele, can play to his potential, Zola would be able to work on improving his defense, which seems to be where the Hammers are suffering most from their recent departures.

7. Portsmouth - Current Price:  300/1.  Star player so far:  Jermaine Defoe.

Harry Redknap’s impressive transfer skills have once again been highlighted this season as the Defoe/Crouch partnership is probably the most feared in the Premiership at the moment.  Defoe’s return of six goals is not only the best in the league, but his two assists and all round good play have seen his England career been revived.  The same can be said for Crouch, who seems to be relishing the opportunity of playing regular first-team football and if his volley last weekend is anything to go by, his best is still yet to come.  It’s not all rosy for Pompey fans though, as keeper, David James, seems to be back to his old tricks and despite having a fine defense in front of him, Portsmouth do look like they are going to concede goals unless James can find the form we saw in the previous  two seasons.

8. Manchester Utd -  Current price:  2/1.   Star player so far:  Rio Ferdinand.

With perhaps the most difficult start to the season on paper of any Premiership team, the fact that Man Utd are currently in 8th place should not worry their fans too much, especially as they have a game in hand over every team currently ahead of them in the table.  New signing, Dimitar Berbatov, is only finding his feet in the last couple of games and Ronaldo was also missing for the first few games of the season.  Add this to the fact that Man Utd have also had no Carrick or Hargreaves and their current position actually looks quite good.  Fringe players like Darren Fletcher and Oliveira Anderson have stepped up and will perhaps cause Alex Ferguson a few headaches when these players return from injury.  With Giggs still playing great football and Rooney almost back to his best, it really is hard to see them not challenging for the top spot come next May.

9. West Bromwich Albion - Current relegation price:  13/8.  Star player so far:  Scott Carson.

Currently in a position that most fans would gladly take at the end of the season, and with a victory over Fulham and a point away to Bolton already under their belt, the Albion are no longer looking like certainties to go down.  Victories over West Ham and Middlesbrough might look better on paper, but taking points off teams who shall probably be involved in the fight at the bottom come the end of the season may prove very important.  Scott Carson has proved his quality already, averaging 3 saves per game so far, and it’s a fairly safe assumption that he will have plenty of opportunities to keep this ratio intact…

10. Blackburn - Current price:  Name it.  Star player so far:  Roque Santa Cruz.

Many pundits were wondering how Blackburn would cope with the departure of Mark Hughes and David Bentley, and the answer is quite simple - not very well at all.  Injuries to goalkeeper, Paul Robinson, and midfielders Stephen Reid and David Dunn probably have not helped the cause either, and placed a lot of pressure on Santa Cruz to carry the team in their absence.  Bearing in mind that Benedict McCarthy is also out until October at the earliest, the immediate future does look bleak for Blackburn, but with newly appointed Paul Ince hungry for success, it’s surely just a matter of time before they start seriously challenging again for a European spot.

11. Manchester City - Current price:  150/1.  Star player so far: Shaun Wright-Phillips. 

A new owner with billions in the bank and new signings (including the most expensive in history) meant that Man City were the biggest gamble early in the season.  Although they have been impressive at times, defeats to Wigan and more recently to Liverpool (after being 2-0 up) have really dented their challenge for breaking into the top four.  January shall tell us just how committed the new owner is to the cause and whether Mark Hughes can handle the pressure of assembling the wonder squad that the new regime is expecting.  The new signings have been very good and seem to have inspired existing members of the squad, none more so than Stephen Ireland, whose performances have probably upstaged those of the €40m man, Robinho.  If they can make a few good signings in January it will be interesting to see if they can claw back whatever points they shall trail the big 4 by, but it is more realistic to say that it will probably be next season before they can make a proper charge for a Champions League place.

12. Middlesbrough - Current relegation price:  8/1.  Star player so far:  Answers on a postcard.

An opening day victory against Spurs probably gave Boro fans a false sense of hope for the season ahead, but 3 straight defeats in September soon quashed any false hope that remained.  Some hope can be taken from the fact they have a 100% success rate at home but 9 points from a possible 21 is not a great return and if they are to challenge for a top-half finish, they really have to work on their away form.  A lot of pressure lies on the shoulders of Stuart Downing and perhaps some action in the January transfer window will ease the strain on the England international and allow him to produce the form that he is capable of.

13. Wigan Athletic - Current relegation price:  6/1.  Star player so far:  Amr Zaki.

It’s been a mixed bag for Wigan so far and they are probably a bit better than their current position suggests.  New striker Amr Zaki has been a revelation since arriving at the club and comparisons have already started to be made between himself and a certain Alan Shearer.  Strike partner Emile Heskey is also in good form and finds himself in the England squad once again.  Antonio Valencia has also started to showcase his talents in midfield, but it seems to be the usually good Wigan defense that is perhaps letting them down, with a few weak goals causing them to drop points.  Saying that, they have had some good results, with their 5-0 thrashing of Hull a fine example of what they are capable of.

14. Sunderland.  Current relegation price: 6/1.  Star player so far:  Steed Malbranque.

When Malbranque made his move from Spurs to Sunderland, it’s pretty safe to say that not even he could have thought that after 7 games his new team would be 6 places ahead of his old, and if for some strange reason this thought did cross his mind surely 14th was not the position that would have jumped to mind, but here we are.  It’s also pretty safe to say that manager Roy Keane will not be happy with his team’s current position and he has even gone on the offensive against some of Sunderland’s more ‘negative’ fans.  Their performances have been quite good though and they are winning the games that they are ’supposed’ to, which is all a supporter can really ask for in their team.  If they keep playing as they are they should improve on their current position by the end of the season.

15. Everton.  Current price:  500/1.  Star player so far:  Mikel Arteta.

A full ten places behind their finishing position of last season, Everton fans are not happy.  Conceding fifteen goals in seven games is probably the main reason for their current position in the league as they have actually managed to score two or more in five of these.  An injury to Tim Cahill didn’t help matters either but with Arteta and Yakubu playing well; Everton really should be in the top half of the table.  New signing, Marouane Fellaini, also looks like a quality player, and if he can settle in with Arteta and Cahill, then Everton’s midfield will be one of the most feared in the Premiership.  Reports that David Moyes is ready to sign a new contract will also come as good news to Toffee fans and if they can get their defense in order they should be pushing for a European place at the end of the season.

16. Bolton - Current relegation price:  2/1.  Star player so far:  Kevin Davies.

Exactly where they finished up last season and chances are exactly where they will end up come the end of the season.  It’s fairly safe to say that any Bolton fan would happily take this position if it was handed to them now and any improvement in the immediate future is really hard to see.  Unless there is a massive cash injection into the club, it really is hard to see Bolton not battling for survival come May, and even if they do survive, chances are they will find themselves in the same situation in the 09/10 season.

17. Fulham. - Current relegation price:  3/1.  Star player so far:  Ehhhh…

Arsenal aside, Fulham have had a relatively easy start to the season and yet they still find themselves near the bottom of the table.  It may be argued that because they have a game in hand on every team except from Man Utd, that their current position is a flawed one, but it can also be argued that going by their current stats, they are more likely to lose this game anyway so it doesn’t really matter.  Like Bolton, they shall merely be trying to survive, and like Bolton, they shall be attempting this by playing bland football that anyone bar their fans could not really care about.

18. Newcastle.  Current relegation price:  7/2.  Star player so far:  Michael Owen.

Probably the most talked about team so far this season (for all the wrong reasons), Newcastle fans have grown so dismayed with the current state of their club, that many are boycotting games.  Indeed, there were pictures of one fan burning his season ticket outside the ground in recent weeks.  Owner Mike Ashley has stopped attending home games as he fears for his safety and it’s safe to say that Denis Wise has similar feelings about walking into St James’ Gate on a match day.  As for the players on the pitch, none have really shone, and considering the wealth of talent that is in the squad, it really is quite hard to believe that they are in the relegation zone.  Granted they have been hit quite badly with injuries (most notably Viduka, Martins, Barton and Smith), but they should still be at worst a mid-table team.  Reports of a return to the manager’s post for Kevin Keegan will please fans but without the proper backing not even King Kev can save Newcastle and if they find themselves in this position at the end of the season, they may never fully recover.

19. Stoke City.  Current relegation price:  1/7.  Star player so far:  Liam Lawrence.

A victory over Aston Villa and a draw in Anfield prove that Stoke are no pushovers and despite being hot favourites to go down, clubs will find it hard work to take maximum points from the Potters.  An injury to midfielder, Liam Lawrence, has come as a blow to Stoke, as he has shown that he is more than capable of reproducing his form of last season in the Premiership.  Everyone has already written them off, especially bookmakers, but people are always saying that football is a funny aul game, and you never know…

20. Tottenham.  Current relegation price:  6/1.  Star player so far:  Yea right.

Holey Moley.  It’s rare that such words are used here, but it the fact that Spurs are last is quite frankly ridiculous, especially as they were fancied by many to come fifth.  ‘Improvements’ to the squad over the summer have seen the arrival of David Bentley and Luka Modric, but these have been dwarfed by the impact that losing Berbatov and Keane has had on the club.  Derby were proclaimed as the worst Premiership club of all time last year, but even their total after seven games was better than Spurs’ current tally of two. To quote Yazz, ‘The only way is up’.

So that basically sums up the standings as they are.  Opinions are welcome and just to further add to the fire here is my team of the season so far, which I am sure many will disagree with….

                                          Jose Reina

Jose Bosingwa    Rio Ferdinand   Jamie Carragher   Ashley Cole

Shaun Wright-Phillips    Frank Lampard   Mikel Arteta  Theo Walcott

                    Amr Zaki                   Jermaine Defoe 

Best team ever….